by Rick Nason, PhD, CFA
Partner, RSD Solutions Inc.
I am currently reading the book “The Man Who Invented the Computer”, by Jane Smiley. (http://tinyurl.com/4vo9oua) I highly recommend it. It is a thrilling read – even if you are not a computer geek (or a geek in general).
Reading the book reminded me of my early days in academia (early 1980’s) when we debated where computers were going to go. The big debate we had was about the Turing Test. The Turing test involves having someone ask simultaneously questions of a computer and of a human. If the person asking the questions cannot tell the responses from the human, from the responses of the computer then the computer has “passed” the test.
At the time the “test” was proposed, the thinking was that the computer would give the weaker responses and thus it was up to computer designers to develop more elaborate and sophisticated computers.
The question I would like to propose is the Turing Risk Test. It goes like this – if you read a risk analysis of your organization produced by a computer, and a risk analysis of your organization produced by a person (or a team of people), will you be able to tell the difference? Which will be the most sophisticated analysis? Which will be the most useful analysis?
No comments:
Post a Comment