Friday, August 28, 2015

Annual Reviews

By Rick Nason, PhD, CFA
Partner, RSD Solutions Inc.
I guess it is official now; annual reviews suck.  Last week Accenture made the news by saying that they were dropping the practice of annual performance reviews of its staff.  Kind of rich for a consulting firm that generated a lot of consulting fees designing annual reviews for many of its clients.
In essence the argument is that annual reviews cause more harm than good – or at a minimum, cost more to conduct than they are worth.  Seems reasonable for most of the reviews that I have personally experienced in my working career.  The only type of effective review I ever had was the type where a manager told me my “number”; short, sweet and straight to the bank.
Annual risk reviews (quarterly, monthly, weekly, daily and even continuous real time) are still all the rage and fashion.  I am not sure that one wants to totally get rid of risk reviews.  However the recent debate about performance reviews leads to some interesting questions about risk reviews.  Such as, is your risk review process adding value?  Does what you are reviewing still need reviewing?  Does the risk review need to be updated to new realities?  Is your risk review process efficient?  All interesting risk questions.  Perhaps it is time to review the risk review.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Relationships

By Rick Nason, PhD, CFA
Partner, RSD Solutions Inc.
With the title of relationships, and the recent Ashley Madison website hack, you probably thought I was going to write about cyber-security.  I’m not.  I am not an expert on cyber-security and that is definitely one technical aspect of risk to make sure you have the right portfolio of experts managing your downside exposure – pun intended for the specific case of Ashley Madison.
No, instead of Ashley Madison (but now that I have your attention), I want to write about a concept from a new book called “Humans are Underrated”, by Geoff Colvin. 
I believe this is one of the more interesting and insightful business books to come along in a long time.  The book explores the value of human work in the age where the computer and the robot can do more and more.  In essence the book asks how humans can add value when almost everything a human can do a robot or computer can do better (or likely will be able to do better sooner rather than later).
Colvin convincingly argues that the computer will always be able to outperform the knowledge worker – that is a worker who relies on what they know for their value-added.  For the most part I believe that this is already true.  In the rare cases where it may not be true, then modern communications means that a single expert can essentially service the whole world, and thus there is not an extensive need for a global army of local knowledge workers.
One of the points that Colvin makes is that in order to successfully compete against computers and robots, that knowledge workers must transform themselves into relationship workers.  A computer may win on knowledge, but a computer will not win on relationships – nor in most instances do humans want to have the computer win on relationship intensive situations.
These insights pose some issues for risk managers.  Since the mid 1990’s, risk management has shifted hard towards a knowledge intensive field.  Instead of relying on relationships and the wisdom of experienced managers, it has become a field of data crunchers and quant jocks who possess a variety of mathematical degrees and certifications.  While the knowledge is necessary, it has come at the expense of relationships.  To anti-paraphrase a 1990’s domestic diva, “it’s not a good thing”. 
What is the relationship of your risk managers amongst the front line operational staff?  I bet that question brought a bit of a grimace to your expression – didn’t it?  With virtually every organization we work with, risk management is seen as having a less than desirable relationship with the line.  Perhaps Colvin’s book is the wake-up call that risk management needs to think about how it accomplishes its task.  The computer and the robot can have the knowledge aspect of risk management, but risk management needs to develop and control the relationships.  It is a 180 degree shift in current risk management thinking.
But now, back to Ashley Madison and looking at more gossip about what relationships will be exposed.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Uber

By Rick Nason, PhD, CFA
Partner, RSD Solutions Inc.
Uber and taxi drivers are shaping up to be the modern day equivalent of the Hatfields and the McCoys; sworn enemies for life.  In many cities Uber is definitely changing the taxi industry, and the price of taxi medallions and licences have been falling faster than the Chinese stock market.
One has to feel for the taxi drivers.  Many have worked long hours for many years in order to save enough to buy their own license.  However,with the introduction of a simple phone app their future economic prospects crash.  (Interesting to speculate what will happen to Uber when self-driving cars become a practical reality.)
Of course taxi drivers and their commissions are fighting back.  The main argument that they have is that Uber drivers are unlicensed, and as such there is no “taxi commission” to regulate bad Uber drivers.  That argument seems reasonable enough.  As anyone who uses taxis frequently knows, it is quite possible to get a scary taxi experience.  As such, taxi’s should be regulated.  But wait a minute …  
I am sure that almost everyone reading this blog has experienced a bad taxi ride (bad condition of taxi, bad driver, bad wait times, etc. etc. etc.)  However I am also quite confident that few if any of you have ever complained to a taxi commission.  Why would you?  After all, a taxi commission is well known as a bureaucratic behemoth that will likely never respond back to you, and if they did it is likely that nothing will ever occur to rectify the situation or punish the bad taxi driver.

Uber however is “regulated” by the “crowd in the cloud”.  Have a bad trip, and with a simple tap on your phone, the social media world knows about your bad driver, and collectively responds.  Which type of regulation is more effective?  Is a commission and formal regulation best or is the “crowd in the cloud” unstructured regulation best?  Is there an analogous question for corporate and financial regulation?  (Answer – I believe there is.)