Thursday, March 21, 2013

Turing Test

By Rick Nason, PhD, CFA 
Partner, RSD Solutions Inc. 

The British mathematician, World War II code breaker, and one of the 
Grandfathers of the computer developed the Turing Test.  In the Turing Test, 
a person stands before two curtains.  Behind one curtain is a computer.  
Behind the second curtain is another human.  The Turing Test is whether the 
human in front of the curtains can tell which curtain the computer is behind. 

Risk departments for a variety of reasons are becoming more and more 
computerized as more and more risk analytics are deemed necessary.  However 
is your analytics heavy risk management system smart enough to pass for a 
human?  Is your risk management analytics setup smart enough that you only 
need humans solely to feed it data?  Is your Board hoping that the risk 
management "brain" of the company passes a Turing Test?  Or is no one 
thinking of asking this question?  (What are the implications of not asking 
this question?)

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